- AXSM -2.75%
Strategic Performance and Operational Drivers
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Achieved 66% annual revenue growth driven by Auvelity's rapid uptake, which surpassed $500,000,000 in net sales in its third full year of launch.
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Attributed Auvelity's outperformance to its distinct clinical profile and fast onset of action, allowing it to grow 42% year-over-year while the broader antidepressant market remained flat.
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Expanded the primary care prescriber base for Auvelity, which now represents approximately one-third of all prescribers and is the fastest-growing segment.
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Initiated a major sales force expansion to approximately 600 representatives to support continued MDD growth and prepare for the potential Alzheimer’s disease agitation (ADA) launch.
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Reported accelerating momentum for Sunosi with 40% fourth-quarter revenue growth, driven by increased depth among existing writers in both OSA and narcolepsy markets.
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Successfully contracted with a third large commercial GPO for Cymbravo, enabling negotiations with all major commercial payers and PBMs to improve market access.
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Acquired AXS-17, a novel GABA-A modulator, to leverage the company's CNS expertise and existing safety data for a new development program in epilepsy.
Outlook and Strategic Roadmap
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Anticipates a PDUFA action date of April 30 for Auvelity in Alzheimer’s disease agitation, with launch readiness activities currently underway.
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Expects to submit the NDA for AXS-12 in narcolepsy imminently following positive pre-NDA meeting minutes with the FDA.
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Plans to initiate two parallel Phase III trials for solriamfetol in pediatric and adolescent ADHD patients during the first half of 2026.
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Projects top-line results for solriamfetol in binge eating disorder in the second half of 2026, while shift work disorder results are now anticipated in 2027.
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Assumes Auvelity and Sunosi gross-to-net discounts will increase to the mid-50% range in early 2026 due to typical first-quarter dynamics.
Financial and Risk Factors
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Maintained a cash balance of $323,000,000, which management believes is sufficient to fund operations until the company reaches cash flow positivity.
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Reported that Cymbravo gross-to-net discounts remained in the high-70% range during the initial launch phase, with expectations for them to remain elevated in the near term.
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Noted that the 39% increase in annual SG&A expenses was primarily driven by the national DTC advertising campaign and sales force expansion.
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Flagged that while ADA coverage is expected to mirror MDD, the ADA market is more heavily weighted toward Medicare Part D, which may alter the net price profile.
Q&A Session Highlights
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Management noted that while the new FDA guidance is being assessed, clinical plans are already vetted with the agency on an indication-specific basis.
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Confirmed that for shift work disorder, the FDA has already aligned that the existing package could serve as supportive evidence if the current study is positive.
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Management expects to be ready for a full-scale launch within one quarter of potential approval, utilizing the expanded 600-person sales force.
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Indicated that approximately 60% of the ADA market is community-based while 40% is in long-term care, and the sales force will target both segments.
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Management anticipates that over 70% of ADA prescriptions will be in the Medicare Part D channel.
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Expected potential favorability in aggregate gross-to-net for Auvelity because the Medicare channel lacks the co-pay card utilization costs seen in the commercial channel.
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Management emphasized that narcolepsy often requires polypharmacy and that AXS-12 targets the norepinephrine pathway, which is downstream from orexin neurons.
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Highlighted AXS-12's specific benefits in cataplexy, cognition, and comorbid depression as key differentiators in a market where trial-and-error is common.
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