By Micah McCartneyShareNewsweek is a Trust Project memberChina’s orders of American soybeans remain limited, despite the assurances President Donald Trump said he secured from Chinese leader Xi Jinping during their recent high-profile talks in South Korea.
Why It Matters
Soybeans are the United States’ most valuable agricultural export, with China representing a critical market. According to the American Soybean Association, U.S. soybeans accounted for an average of 28 percent of China’s import market over the past seven years.
Earlier this year, Beijing halted imports of U.S. soybeans in retaliation for Trump’s tariff increases, sending American sales to their lowest level in two decades. Farmers’ hopes were lifted in October after the White House announced a breakthrough in trade talks following the leaders' meeting in Busan.
Newsweek reached out to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA) foreign department and China's Commerce Ministry by email with a request for comment.
What To know
Data from the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service shows that exports to China remain modest. Private export sales included 792,000 metric tons on November 18, 330,000 metric tons on November 19, 462,000 metric tons on November 20, and 123,000 metric tons this Monday.
These figures fall short of China’s purported commitment to buy 12 million metric tons by January and an additional 25 million metric tons annually for the next three years.
...Trump told reporters Tuesday that in his call with Xi the previous day, he urged the Chinese leader to speed up purchases. “He more or less agreed,” Trump said, according to Reuters. U.S. Trade Secretary Scott Bessent, who has led the American negotiating team, insisted Chinese purchases remain “right on schedule.”
At the same time, China has stepped up efforts to diversify its soybean suppliers, increasing imports from Brazil and Argentina in a bid to strengthen food security. Brazilian produce now make up more than half of China’s total soybean imports, according to the USDA.
What People Are Saying
Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social Monday: “I just had a very good telephone call with President Xi, of China. We discussed many topics including Ukraine/Russia, Fentanyl, Soybeans and other Farm Products, etc. We have done a good, and very important, deal for our great farmers—and it will only get better.”
Tanner Ehmke, a lead economist with CoBank, told The Associated Press: "“We are still not even close to what has been advertised from the U.S. in terms of what the agreement would have been."
What Happens Next
Whether China will increase its purchases enough to meet its promises remains uncertain. In the longer term, U.S. soybean exporters could face stiffer competition as China continues to diversify its import sources.
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