The rubber is close to meeting the road. We are now getting ready for our fourth set of the CFP rankings of 2025 on Tuesday. We've had another week of scintillating games (okay, everything pretty much held serve this past weekend) to add to the minds of the CFP committee that works collectively to decide where teams fall in the rankings that decide who gets to be a part of the 12-team field.
Now, it's time to absorb what the CFP rankings will be for Week 4, and each subsequent week beyond that -- including the conference championship games the first weekend in December. Will Ohio State still be No. 1? Is Indiana still No. 2 ahead of Texas A&M? What about other Big Ten teams still in the running, like Oregon and Michigan? Where they are will be a key to where they could eventually land.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementWe are dying to find out.
We'll get a real, live look at those rankings once they are announced on ESPN, but we like to predict what those rankings will look like ahead of the reveal each week. And, since the third release is occurring on Tuesday again -- well, we're game to give it another shot, and will hopefully do better this time now that we have a baseline for what the committee put out there in Week 2.
Here's how we see the third College Football Playoff Rankings for 2025 playing out on Tuesday night. We'll go from No. 12 down to No. 1 as usual.
No. 12 - Miami Hurricanes (9-2)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 13
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementWhy it makes sense
Miami has been gaining momentum and is playing better since its midseason swoon. Utah struggled with an unranked team last week, and it could be enough to move the Hurricanes up past the Utes in the eyes of the CFP Committee.
No. 11 - BYU Cougars (10-1)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 12
Why it makes sense
BYU got a massive win for its playoff chances with a victory over Cincinnati on the road. It keeps the Cougars on pace to make the Big 12 Championship game and right there in for an at-large bid. BYU may want to go ahead and win out just to be safe because No. 11 is right around the cut line because of the non Group of Five and conference championship auto-bids.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNo. 10 - Alabama Crimson Tide (9-2)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 10
Why it makes sense:
There's really no reason to move Alabama up or down. Staying pat at No. 10 should be enough to keep the Crimson Tide in the field, but, without moving up, it'll have to go to another team's place to play a first-round game. Not ideal, but who really wants to see those helmets walking out of the tunnel? The Tide will also get a crack at winning the SEC if it wins against Auburn on Saturday.
No. 9 - Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-2)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 9
Why it makes sense:
The Fighting Irish have kind of been given the benefit of the doubt -- winning nine in a row after dropping their first two of the season. You have to wonder if the head-to-head loss to Miami will come into play at some point. The game control is good, but there are not many impressive wins against ranked opponents to speak of. But, if the Irish were here to begin with, they'll be here again after beating Pittsburgh last week.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNo. 8 - Oklahoma Sooners (9-2)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 8
Why it makes sense:
Oklahoma did what it had to do last week by disposing of a ranked Missouri team. The Sooners are firmly in the CFP field right now with wins over Alabama and Texas, but there is no margin for error at this point to lose another one. Not making the SEC Championship Game might actually benefit Oklahoma at this point. So, beat LSU this weekend, and the Sooners are likely a lock.
No. 7 - Ole Miss Rebels (10-1)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 6
Why it makes sense:
Ole Miss is in great shape, but will the CFP committee knock the Rebels down a peg and reward Oregon for a dominating win over a ranked USC team? It already happened with the AP poll, and we're calling for it to happen here too, because this committee has leaned heavily on the eye test. While Ole Miss's resume might be just a week bit better with the win over Oklahoma, there's not that big of a difference.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNo. 6 - Oregon Ducks (10-1)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 7
Why it makes sense:
As already mentioned, Oregon's smackdown of USC might be enough to have the committee leapfrog the Ducks over Ole Miss. The only loss in the body of work is to the No. 2 team in the country as Oregon tries its best to get up into that top four. A huge road game at Washington looms. It would be interesting to see what the committee would do with the Ducks should it lose in Seattle.
No. 5 - Texas Tech Red Raiders (10-1)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 5
Why it makes sense:
Is any team flying more under the radar than Texas Tech? The Red Raiders have just the one loss -- a weird one -- at Arizona State. Aside from that, they've been dominant, including two wins over ranked opponents, including a drubbing of Utah in Salt Lake City. Tech would love to get up into the top four.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNo. 4 - Georgia Bulldogs (10-1)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 4
Why it makes sense:
It sure looks like Georgia is starting to hit its stride and getting better by the week. We didn't find out much last week against FCS opponent Charlotte, but wins over Ole Miss, Texas, and at Tennessee will be impressive to the committee. We'll see how all of the SEC tiebreakers fall and whether or not the Bulldogs are in Atlanta for a chance to get the conference's auto-bid.
No. 3 - Texas A&M Aggies (11-0)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 3
Why it makes sense:
A&M is undefeated, and a case could be made to move the Aggies up, but regardless, they are in a very, very good spot and likely already in the field. They still have to get past Texas this weekend, and if they do, they'll be in Atlanta to try and take home the SEC Championship. Lose, and believe it or not, the Aggies could be at home watching the SEC title game but still a high seed in the CFP.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNo. 2 - Indiana Hoosiers (11-0)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 2
Why it makes sense:
Indiana is really the clear No. 2 team and will remain here until the Big Ten Championship game -- unless Purdue shocks the world and upends the Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are a lock for the CFP, no matter what and will be playing for the No. 1 seed. They likely have also already locked up a first-round bye, again, unless there is an inexplicable loss at Purdue.
No. 1 - Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0)
Last Week's Ranking | No. 1
Why it makes sense
Yes, there's the Michigan problem coming up, but Ohio State has looked like the best team in the country easily, having never trailed in the second half this entire season. The defense is historically dominant, the offense can seemingly score at will, and the Buckeyes pass the eye test with several NFL first-rounders on the roster. Can OSU close the deal with a win over Michigan and then win in Indy to clinch the No. 1 seed?
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This article originally appeared on Buckeyes Wire: CFP Rankings: Predicting the top 12 teams in the fourth release
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