- BSY -1.32%
Strategic Performance and AI Positioning
-
Sustained low-double-digit ARR growth since 2022, driven by a 94% direct sales motion and high visibility in infrastructure end markets.
-
AI is framed as an unprecedented opportunity rather than a risk, specifically through automating design optimization and enhancing asset analytics.
-
The deliberate pace of technology adoption in infrastructure is attributed to safety, resilience, and regulatory requirements like professional engineer seals.
-
Infrastructure engineering data is largely proprietary and managed within Bentley Infrastructure Cloud, preventing public scraping for AI training and reinforcing Bentley's role as a trusted steward.
-
The Resources sector, led by Seequent, remains the fastest-growing segment due to its deep integration into operational workflows rather than cyclical capital projects.
-
Strategic shift in business models is anticipated, moving from hourly billing for engineering services to value-based compensation for AI-optimized outcomes.
-
Asset Analytics reached a $50 million run rate milestone in 2025, combining digital twin creation with engineering simulation for infrastructure maintenance.
2026 Outlook and Strategic Initiatives
-
Projecting 2026 constant currency ARR growth between 10.5% and 12.5%, reflecting momentum in established business and AI-powered initiatives.
-
Management committed to approximately 100 basis points of annual operating margin improvement, though reported margins face a 50 basis point FX headwind.
-
Free cash flow for 2026 is projected between $500 million and $570 million, impacted by a $30 million cash interest outflow following the retirement of 2026 convertible notes.
-
Capital allocation strategy shifts toward scaled-up programmatic acquisitions, with capacity for up to $400 million in annual M&A without increasing leverage.
-
Immediate AI priority in design is adoption and exploration of high-value workflows rather than direct monetization, which is expected to follow as workflows mature.
Structural Changes and Risk Factors
-
Retired maturing 2026 convertible debt in early 2026, reducing fully diluted share count by approximately 3%.
-
Acquired Pointivo and Talon Analytics to extend asset analytics capabilities into automated measurement and utility/telecom inspection workflows.
-
China, representing 2% of ARR, continues to face economic and geopolitical headwinds expected to persist through 2026.
-
Refined the primary profitability metric to focus on adjusted operating income less operating stock-based compensation to remove M&A-related volatility.
Q&A Session Insights
Monetization of AI and API consumption timelinesOur analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here.
-
Asset analytics provides immediate revenue, though it may not always be classified as ARR due to non-annual regulatory inspection cycles.
-
Bentley intends to incrementally monetize API consumption on a scale significantly larger than current attendant consumption as AI agents automate design iterations.
-
With net debt leverage at a 4-year low of 2.1x, the company is expanding its M&A focus beyond asset analytics to broader programmatic acquisitions.
-
Management noted that even $400 million in annual acquisitions would not necessarily increase current leverage levels.
-
Bentley differentiates itself through a data agreement registry where accounts must explicitly consent to or can revoke the use of their data for AI training.
-
Management emphasized that users' proprietary design data will not be used to train models for other organizations without authorization.
-
The 15% to 20% projected growth in services is primarily driven by a recovery in the Cohesive Maximo business as clients upgrade to newer software versions.
-
Asset analytics acquisitions contribute minimal data acquisition services, as the goal is to minimize manual service components in favor of automated analytics.
One stock. Nvidia-level potential. 30M+ investors trust Moby to find it first. Get the pick. Tap here.
Terms and Privacy Policy Privacy Dashboard More Info