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The 9 biggest gaps in our understanding of cosmic history

2025-12-01 07:00
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The 9 biggest gaps in our understanding of cosmic history

The answer to nature’s greatest riddles are written upon the Universe itself. Gaia’s all-sky view of our Milky Way Galaxy and neighboring galaxies. The maps show the total brightness and c...

Starts With A Bang — December 1, 2025 The 9 biggest gaps in our understanding of cosmic history Science has assembled an incredible story outlining our the Universe’s whole history. Despite its unrivaled success, 9 profound gaps remain. Illustration depicting cosmic evolution from the Big Bang, through inflation and CMB, to the large-scale cosmic web. As time advances from 0 to 13.8 billion years, SPHEREx's mapping of galaxies teaches what CMB can't about our universe's development. In the aftermath of inflation, signatures are imprinted onto the Universe that are unmistakably inflationary in origin. While the CMB provides an early-time "snapshot" of these features, that's just one moment in history. By probing the large variety of times/distances accessible to us throughout cosmic time, such as with large-scale structure, we can obtain information that would otherwise be obscure from any single snapshot. Credit: Caltech/Robert Hurt(IPAC) Key Takeaways
  • Although we exist here and now on Earth, we can look down, at our planet’s past, and up, at the Universe beyond our world, and piece together various aspects of the cosmic story uniting us all.
  • We’ve learned an impressive amount about both our planetary and our cosmic histories, consistent with the known fundamental laws, forces, and constituents of our Universe.
  • However, despite all we’ve learned and our ongoing best efforts, some significant gaps in our understanding persist. Here’s where the greatest unsolved problems facing us today can be found.
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The answer to nature’s greatest riddles are written upon the Universe itself.

milky way GaiaGaia’s all-sky view of our Milky Way Galaxy and neighboring galaxies. The maps show the total brightness and color of stars (top), the total density of stars (middle), and the interstellar dust that fills the galaxy (bottom). Note how, on average, there are approximately ~10 million stars in each square degree, but that some regions, like the galactic plane or the galactic center, have stellar densities well above the overall average. Credit: ESA/Gaia/DPAC

From the fundamental to the cosmic, science reveals our natural history.

Diagram visually representing one of the biggest mysteries: the origin and evolution of the universe, from the Big Bang on the left to galaxies, stars, and finally Earth on the right, set against a black background.Our Universe, from the hot Big Bang until the present day, underwent a huge amount of growth and evolution, and continues to do so. Our entire observable Universe was approximately the size of a modest boulder some 13.8 billion years ago, but it has expanded to be ~46 billion light-years in radius today. The complex structure that has arisen must have grown from seed imperfections of at least ~0.003% of the average density early on, and has gone through phases where atomic nuclei, neutral atoms, and stars first formed, eventually giving rise to our Solar System, planet, life, and humans. Credit: NASA/CXC/M. Weiss

Despite all we’ve learned, these nine major puzzles remain unsolved.

Diagram illustrating the timeline of the universe from inflation to present day, highlighting density and polarization signals over 13.8 billion years—shedding light on some of the biggest mysteries surrounding the origin of the universe.The quantum fluctuations inherent to space, stretched across the Universe during cosmic inflation, gave rise to the density fluctuations imprinted in the cosmic microwave background, which in turn gave rise to the stars, galaxies, and other large-scale structures in the Universe today. This is the best picture we have of how the entire Universe behaves, where inflation precedes and sets up the Big Bang. Unfortunately, we can only access the information contained inside our cosmic horizon, which is all part of the same fraction of one region where inflation ended some 13.8 billion years ago. Credit: E. Siegel; ESA/Planck and the DOE/NASA/NSF Interagency Task Force on CMB research

1.) What triggered or preceded cosmic inflation?

A diagram illustrating one of the biggest mysteries: the origin and expansion of the universe over time, with a web representing space growing outward from a bright starting point on the left.From a region of space as small as can be imagined (all the way down to the Planck scale), cosmological inflation causes space to expand exponentially: relentlessly doubling and doubling again with each tiny fraction-of-a-second that elapses. Although this empties the Universe and stretches it flat, it also contains quantum fluctuations superimposed atop it: fluctuations that will later provide the seeds for cosmic structure within our own Universe. What happened before the final ~10^-32 seconds of inflation, including the question of whether inflation arose from a singular state before it, not only isn’t known, but may be fundamentally unknowable. Credit: Big Think / Ben Gibson

Inflation wasn’t the beginning; we don’t know what was.

A plot showing constraints on the primordial tilt (ns) and tensor-to-scalar ratio (r), with colored regions and curves representing different inflation models and observational datasets, sheds light on how hot big bang conditions shaped the early universe.Various models of inflation and what they predict for the scalar (x-axis) and tensor (y-axis) fluctuations from inflation. Note how just a small subset of viable inflationary models gives rise to a huge variety of possible predictions for these parameters, and how even with the joint constraints provided by various independent cosmological probes, that many models of inflation remain viable and consistent with the data. Credit: Planck collaboration, Astronomy & Astrophysics, 2020

2.) What “flavor” of inflation occurred?

Map showing Planck's polarisation of the cosmic microwave background—offering insight into some of the biggest mysteries about the origin of the universe—with zoomed-in sections filtered at 5 degrees and 20 arcminutes for comparison.This map shows the CMB’s polarization signal, as measured by the Planck satellite in 2015. The top and bottom insets show the difference between filtering the data on particular angular scales of 5 degrees and 1/3 of a degree, respectively. While temperature data, alone, can demonstrate that the CMB is of cosmic nature, the polarization signal gives us key pieces of information relevant to the details of cosmic inflation, including which “flavors” of inflation are allowed and disallowed. Credit: ESA and the Planck Collaboration, 2015

Primordial gravitational waves, cosmic flatness, and primordial non-Gaussianity observations will inform us.

gravitational wave contribution to B-mode polarizationThe contribution of gravitational waves left over from inflation to the B-mode polarization of the cosmic microwave background has a known shape, but its amplitude is dependent on the specific model of inflation and can only be constrained observationally. These B-modes from gravitational waves from inflation have not yet been observed, but detecting them would help us tremendously in pinning down precisely what type of inflation occurred. A false detection, from the BICEP2 team, famously occurred in the early 2010s, but was swiftly refuted. We now know that the r-ratio, represented on the y-axis, must be no greater than about ~0.01, with future experiments hoping to get down to the 0.001 or even the 0.0001 level. Credit: Planck Science Team

3.) How did baryogenesis occur?

When the electroweak symmetry (the symmetry that corresponds to the Higgs field) breaks, the combination of CP-violation and baryon number violation can create a matter/antimatter asymmetry where there was none before, owing to the effect of sphaleron interactions working on, for example, a neutrino excess. This can only occur, however, if the electroweak phase transition is first-order, rather than the second-order transition predicted by the Standard Model alone. Credit: University of Heidelberg

We don’t know how our Universe came to be matter dominated.

anitmatter annihilationIn the very early Universe, there were tremendous numbers of quarks, leptons, antiquarks, and antileptons of all species. After only a tiny fraction-of-a-second has elapsed since the hot Big Bang, most of these matter-antimatter pairs annihilate away, leaving a very tiny excess of matter over antimatter. How that excess came about is a puzzle known as baryogenesis, and it is one of the greatest unsolved problems in modern physics. Credit: E. Siegel/Beyond the Galaxy

4.) What is the nature of dark matter?

Six panels show clusters of galaxies in space, with bright stars and galaxies overlaid by colored regions in blue and pink indicating gas and dark matter distribution—shedding light on some of the biggest mysteries surrounding the origin of our universe.The X-ray (pink) and overall matter (blue) maps of various colliding galaxy clusters show a clear separation between normal matter and gravitational effects, some of the strongest evidence for dark matter. The X-rays come in two varieties, soft (lower-energy) and hard (higher-energy), where galaxy collisions can create temperatures ranging from several hundreds of thousands of degrees up to ~100 million K. Meanwhile, the fact that the gravitational effects (in blue) are displaced from the location of the mass from the normal matter (pink) shows that dark matter must be present. Without dark matter, these observations (along with many others) cannot be sufficiently explained. Credit: NASA, ESA, D. Harvey (École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland; University of Edinburgh, UK), R. Massey (Durham University, UK), T. Kitching (University College London, UK), and A. Taylor and E. Tittley (University of Edinburgh, UK)

Despite overwhelming astrophysical evidence for its presence, its nature remains elusive.

This 4-panel graph shows constraints on solar axions, on the neutrino magnetic moment, and on two different “flavors” of dark matter candidates, all constrained by the latest XENONnT results. These are the best such constraints in physics history, and remarkably demonstrate just how good the XENON collaboration has gotten at what they do. Axions, like other dark matter candidates, have not yielded a positive direct detection signature yet. Credit: E. Aprile et al. for the XENON Collaboration, arXiv:2207.11330, 2022

5.) How and when did the first stars appear?

A colorful, irregular galaxy with bright clusters of stars, some possibly from a generation stars before sun, and nebulae against a dark background scattered with distant stars.The dwarf galaxy UGCA 281, shown here as imaged by Hubble in the visible and ultraviolet, is rapidly forming new stars. An older, background population of redder stars coexists alongside the newer, bluer stars that are superimposed atop them. The newly-formed stars are largely heavily-enriched Population I stars, while the older stars are largely metal-poor Population II stars. No pristine, metal-free, Population III stars are yet known. Credit: NASA, ESA, LEGUS Team

The first generation of stars, formed after the Big Bang, remains undiscovered.

Two graphs: the top shows spectral data with annotated lines from three telescopes, exploring one of the biggest mysteries—the origin of the universe; the bottom plots UV spectral slope versus absolute UV magnitude with highlighted data points and colored bands.This graph shows the combination of the Hubble, JWST NIRCam, and JWST NIRSpec data for galaxy RXJ2129-z8HeII. There is an unusually strong, blue tilt to the stellar spectrum of this object, but the evidence for any pristine material amidst the highly enriched gas and stars that are present is too flimsy to make a compelling case for the presence of any pristine, Population III (a.k.a., the “first”) stars. No such population, as of 2025, has yet been found. Credit: X. Wang et al., Astrophysical Journal Letters, 2024

6.) How “alone” are we in the Universe?

Two space telescopes with solar panel arrays are shown against a plain, dark background. NASA's Habitable Worlds Observatory is represented by one with a hexagonal mirror, highlighting its role in advancing space science.These two designs represent artist concepts for the potential look and architecture of the upcoming, planned NASA astrophysics flagship mission of HWO: the Habitable Worlds Observatory. It will represent a truly generational leap, the same way Hubble or JWST did for NASA science. As the #1 recommended mission by the National Academy of Sciences’ 2020 decadal survey, it will be the first mission to directly image Earth-sized worlds at Earth-like distances around Sun-like stars, but only if we design, advance, fund, and build it. Credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center Conceptual Image Lab

When and where did life arise, and how common is it? We still know almost nothing.

A vertical chart outlines six assessment levels for measuring biogenic activity, from initial detection of organics on Mars to independent confirmation of life, with corresponding measurement indicators for each level.The Confidence of Life Detection (CoLD) scale is a way for scientists to quantify how confident we are that a potential biosignature actually arose from the activity of life. Signatures like “methane on Mars” or the new features found inside Perseverance’s latest sedimentary rock (as well as ancient Mars Viking results) have only risen to Level 1 on this scale. Until we reach at least Level 4, ruling out abiotic pathways to creating the observed signatures, appropriate skepticism (including disbelief) of any claims of life’s involvement is warranted. Credit: NASA

7.) How did life on Earth begin?

Deep under the sea, around hydrothermal vents, where no sunlight reaches, life still thrives on Earth. How to create life from non-life is one of the great open questions in science today, but hydrothermal vents are one of the leading locations where the first metabolic processes, the precursor to living organisms, may have first arisen. If life can exist down there on Earth, perhaps undersea on Europa or Enceladus, there’s life down there, too. Credit: NOAA Office of Ocean Exploration and Research

We know so much about biology, biochemistry, and evolution, but haven’t solved the abiogenesis puzzle.

peptide coevolutionIf life began with a random peptide that could metabolize nutrients/energy from its environment, replication could then ensue from peptide-nucleic acid coevolution. Here, DNA-peptide coevolution is illustrated, but it could work with RNA or even PNA as the nucleic acid instead. Asserting that a “divine spark” is needed for life to arise is a classic “God-of-the-gaps” argument, but asserting that we know exactly how life arose from non-life is also a fallacy. These conditions, including rocky planets with these molecules present on their surfaces, likely existed within the first 1-2 billion years of the Big Bang. Credit: A. Chotera et al., Chemistry Europe, 2018

8.) What is dark energy’s nature?

A cartoon of three cosmic phenomena (CMB, Baryon Acoustic Oscillations, Supernovae) pulling on a triangle. Text below reads: "Something has to give...This fun graphic illustrates the tension on Λ, Einstein’s cosmological constant, exerted by combining supernova data (right), baryon acoustic oscillations (left), and the cosmic microwave background (top). When all three data sets are combined, the idea of a cosmological constant struggles to hold together; it’s possible that something, but perhaps not necessarily Λ, is going to give. Credit: Claire Lamman

Is it a cosmological constant? And from where does it arise?

Comparison of DESI and DES data illustrating ( w_0 ) and ( w_a ) parameter constraints using various datasets, represented by multiple colored ellipses across three plots, shedding light on the dark energy weakening hypothesis.These graphs show the fit for evolving dark energy, in terms of the parameters w_0 and w_a, where a constant cosmological constant for dark energy corresponds to w_a = 0 and w_0 = -1, exactly. Note that the DESI data on its own is consistent with constant dark energy, but that when you combine CMB and supernova (for example, DESY5, as shown in the middle panel) data with it, it favors evolving dark energy instead. Credit: DESI Collaboration/M. Abdul-Karim et al., DESI DR2 Results, 2025

9.) What’s our ultimate cosmic fate?

dark energy fateThe expected fates of the Universe (top three illustrations) all correspond to a Universe where the matter and energy combined fight against the initial expansion rate. In our observed Universe, a cosmic acceleration is caused by some type of dark energy, which is hitherto unexplained. All of these Universes are governed by the Friedmann equations, which relate the expansion of the Universe to the various types of matter and energy present within it. Credit: E. Siegel/Beyond the Galaxy

Big crunch? Big rip? A heat death? Or a rejuvenated cycle? The quest to find out continues.

big crunchThe far distant fates of the Universe offer a number of possibilities, but if dark energy is truly a constant, as the data best indicates, it will continue to follow the red curve, leading to the long-term scenario frequently described on Starts With A Bang: of the eventual heat death of the Universe. If dark energy can strengthen, weaken, or reverse sign over time, however, all bets are off, and alternative possibilities, like a Big Crunch or a Big Rip, suddenly abound. Credit: NASA/CXC/M. Weiss

Mostly Mute Monday tells a scientific story in images, visuals, and no more than 200 words.

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