The Denver Broncos head to the nation's capital to face the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football.
Marcus Mariota & Co. will have a tough time scoring against this elite Denver defense. However, if you're looking to back any Washington player to find the end zone, veteran receiver Deebo Samuel is the best option.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementHere are my free Broncos vs. Commanders anytime touchdown picks for tonight's clash. For even more NFL picks, make sure to check out our full Broncos vs. Commanders predictions!
Broncos anytime touchdown pick
Troy Franklin (+145 at FanDuel)
Troy Franklin leads the Denver Broncos with five receiving touchdowns. Four of those touchdowns have come in the last five weeks, with Franklin averaging a team-high 9.0 targets per game during that span.
Franklin is Bo Nix's go-to receiver when Denver gets close to the goal line, reeling in 11 of 14 targets inside the red zone. That isn't surprising since the sophomore wide receiver built chemistry with Nix after playing together at Oregon.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementFranklin should thrive against a Washington Commanders defense that is last in the league in dropback EPA and ranks 27th in passing touchdowns allowed.
Thanksgiving TD BingoCommanders anytime touchdown pick
Deebo Samuel (+230 at FanDuel)
Deebo Samuel has found the end zone in each of the past two games and leads Washington with five receiving touchdowns this season. He has also seen a team-high 11 targets in the red zone.
Tight end Zach Ertz is second on the team with seven red-zone targets, and no other Washington receiver has more than two targets inside the 20-yard line.
Samuel leads the Commanders with a 26.8% target share against man coverage, and Denver plays man at the third-highest rate in the NFL. Meanwhile, No. 1 WR Terry McLaurin returns to the lineup after missing the last month. He could be rusty and will be blanketed by All-Pro corner Patrick Surtain, while Samuel draws a much easier assignment.
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