The FHSAA state semifinal teams are almost all set — Miami Northwestern and Miami Central play in the Region 4-3A championship on Nov. 29 — but the exact matchups aren't official yet.
The FHSAA reseeds the teams according to the power rankings for the state semifinals.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe FHSAA has been updating its power rankings after each round of the playoffs. The next update is scheduled for Nov. 30.
Here's a look at what the state semifinal matchups would be based on the latest FHSAA power rankings.
Class 7A
No. 4 Miami Palmetto (11-2) at No. 1 Vero Beach (13-0)
No. 3 Venice (8-3) at No. 2 Lake Mary (10-3)
Confidence level: Pretty high. Lake Mary knocking off DeLand pretty much locked this order in place.
Class 6A
No. 4 West Broward (11-2) at No. 1 Buchholz (12-1)
No. 3 West Boca (11-2) at No. 2 Armwood (13-0)
Confidence level: Pretty high. Buchholz and Armwood are set in the top two spots. West Boca has a lead of more than a point over West Broward.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementClass 5A
No. 4 Riverdale (12-1) at No. 1 St. Thomas Aquinas (12-1)
No. 3 Ponte Vedra (11-2) at No. 2 Lakeland (11-2)
Confidence level: Pretty low. Aquinas and Lakeland will be the top two seeds, but it's a bit of guess as to how it will shake out. Lakeland trails by half a point, but will beating a 12-win Edgewater carry more weight than Aquinas beating a 10-win McArthur team.
Class 4A
No. 4 Port Charlotte (11-2) at No. 1 Jones (11-2)
No. 3 American Heritage (7-5) at No. 2 Choctawhatchee (12-1)
Confidence level: Low. Coming into the regional championships, the top three seeds were separated by less than a point. Choctaw trails Jones by less than a point and just beat an 11-win St. Augustine team.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementClass 3A
If Northwestern beats Central
No. 4 Bishop Moore (12-1) at No. 1 Northwestern (12-0)
No. 3 Booker (12-1) at No. 2 Raines (12-0)
Confidence level: High. These teams all have some separation, and the lone win that really moves the needle on the power rankings is Northwestern beating Central.
If Central beats Northwestern
No. 4 Bishop Moore (12-1) at No. 1 Raines (12-0)
No. 3 Central (11-1) at No. 2 Booker (12-1)
Confidence level: Pretty low. A Central win over previously undefeated Northwestern would certainly impact the ratings. The only question is if it would be enough for the Rockets to make the jump of more than two points to pass Raines for the No. 1 seed.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementClass 2A
No. 4 Cocoa (8-4) at No. 1 Cardinal Mooney (12-1)
No. 3 Cardinal Gibbons (10-3) at No. 2 Bolles (12-1)
Confidence level: Pretty low. The top two seeds are locked in. Gibbons led Cocoa by .009 points heading into the regional finals. Wouldn't be a surprise at all if these two flip seeds.
Class 1A
No. 4 Trinity Christian (9-4) at No. 1 Chaminade-Madonna (10-2)
No. 3 Cardinal Newman (10-3) at No. 2 Carrollwood Day (12-0)
Confidence level: Pretty low. Chaminade-Madonna, Carrollwood Day and Cardinal Newman are separated by less than 1.3 points. The question then becomes which regional championship win will carry the most weight.
This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Florida football final four pairings, who will play in FHSAA semifinals
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