The Thanksgiving edition of Thursday Night Football brings two teams trending in opposite directions as the Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals, who’ll have Joe Burrow back, which gives this matchup a major jolt.
Baltimore sits as a seven-point favorite with a total of 51.5, and my Bengals vs. Ravens predictions have a Baltimore pass catcher having a big impact on the game
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementHere’s my NFL picks for Thursday Night Football on November 27th.
Bengals vs Ravens prediction
Bengals vs Ravens Best bet: Mark Andrews Over 37.5 receiving yards (-114)
Let’s not sugarcoat it — the Cincinnati Bengals are absolutely atrocious against the tight end position, which sets up extremely well for the Baltimore Ravens' TE1.
Cincinnati is allowing a league-high 87.4 receiving yards per game to the tight end position, which is 17 more yards than the next closest team. Recent weeks have seen Hunter Henry go for 115 yards against them and Colston Loveland going off for 118 yards.
While triple digits from Mark Andrews might be too much to ask for, his recent history against the Bengals suggests he’ll top this number with ease. He’s gone Over 37.5 receiving yards in seven of his last eight games against the Bengals, including posting totals of 68 and 55 in the two matchups last season.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementAndrews’ numbers this season might not inspire a lot of confidence in this wager, considering he’s only averaging 25.9 receiving yards per game, which is well below his mark of 39.5 last season, but he’s still second on the team in yards, catches, and targets.
Perhaps the absence of Lamar Jackson at QB for a handful of games has had an impact, but this game sets up much differently than others considering Cincinnati’s struggles against the tight end position, and their defensive struggles as a whole as they’re the only team in the NFL allowing more than 30 points per game and are allowing the most passing yards per game.
Put simply, almost everything about this matchup points to Andrews clearing 37.5 yards, from Cincinnati’s brutal tight end coverage to his strong track record against them and a Ravens offense poised to exploit a league-worst pass defense.
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Andrews has cleared 37.5 yards in seven of his last eight games against the Bengals, who are allowing the most yards per game to the tight end position. He's one of the team's top redzone targets who also has a rushing TD this season. This could also be a big night for Lamar. The Bengals have allowed the second-most passing touchdowns this season, and he torched them for eight touchdown passes in the two games last season.
Bengals vs Ravens SGP
Mark Andrews Over 37.5 receiving yards
Mark Andrews to score a TD
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 TD passes
Our big-ticket SGP: The Andrews-Jackson connection
Expect Chase Brown to be involved in the pass game with the Ravens, who allow the seventh most receiving yards to running backs this season. He's topped 17.5 in four straight games and went for 52 in his most recent matchup against Baltimore last season.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementBengals vs Ravens SGP
Mark Andrews Over 37.5 receiving yards
Mark Andrews to score a TD
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 TD passes
Chase Brown Over 18.5 yards
Thanksgiving BTE ContestBengals vs Ravens odds
Spread: Cincinnati +7 | Baltimore -7
Moneyline: Cincinnati +260 | Baltimore -320
Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5
Bengals vs Ravens betting trend to know
The Cincinnati Bengals have only covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 17 games (-10.18 Units / -55% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Bengals vs. Ravens.
How to watch Bengals vs Ravens
Location
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Date
Thursday, November 27, 2025
Kickoff
8:20 p.m. ET
TV
NBC
Learn how to live stream Bengals vs. Ravens for free tonight.
Bengals vs Ravens latest injuries
Bengals vs Ravens weather
Expect a classic chilly late-November night at M&T Bank Stadium, with temperatures in the upper 30s°F at kick off. Skies look mostly clear to partly cloudy through the evening with no precipitation in the forecast and light winds, so fans will be cold but not dealing with rain or snow. The dry weather and relatively calm conditions mean footing on the field should be solid, and the ball won’t be slick from moisture.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementFrom a football standpoint, this is close to ideal playing weather. Quarterbacks and receivers may need a series or two to get used to the colder ball, but once they’ve warmed up, the passing game shouldn’t be heavily restricted.
The cold favors the more physical team over four quarters as tackling can sting more, and defenders who are on the field a lot may wear down faster. If one side has the stronger run game and trenches, that advantage could grow as the night gets colder, but overall the conditions lean neutral and shouldn’t drastically tilt the outcome toward either the Bengals or Ravens.
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
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Thursday Night Football odds
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